"This time will be different."
That's the essence of Metro planners' pitch for light rail transit (LRT) from Tualatin to downtown Portland. We're supposed to believe that ridership forecasts aren't as overly optimistic as those from the last three TriMet rail projects.
We're told that Southwest Corridor LRT would provide 39,700 trips daily by 2035. That's about 3,300 to 3,600 trips per mile without directly serving Portland Community College's Sylvania campus or Marquam Hill's medical complex, the two main corridor destinations north of Tigard. No TriMet line comes close to those numbers, and the whole 60-mile MAX system provides only about 2,100 trips per mile.
Yep, it's always going to be different, this time around, because they know what they're doing, honest. Actually, they don't. They're money-wasting jackasses, and their so-called "projections" have never once, in the past four decades, proven correct.