For decades now, most urban planning has been focused on minimizing the use of personal cars. The goal is to reduce air pollution and free up land for other uses. One way to achieve that has been to encourage high-density housing development near public transportation hubs.
In October 2019, the City of Minneapolis passed Minneapolis 2040, which essentially wipes out neighborhoods zoned exclusively for single-family homes in favor of new rules that allow and encourage larger buildings stacked with human beings. In California, there's Plan Bay Area 2050 to comprehensively manage development across the San Francisco Bay Area in order to alleviate all sorts of traffic, make housing more affordable, and solve other social ills. All over the country (and really, the world), the goal for planners has been to cram people together and get them to ride light-rail and buses.
As the Seattle area is discovering, all that planning isn't working out so well these days:
Before the coronavirus pandemic, King County Metro was defying a trend.
As fewer people rode buses in cities all over America, riders were flocking to board here. Metro couldn’t hire and train drivers fast enough and didn’t have enough space at its maintenance bases to keep up with demand.
All that has changed.
The coronavirus outbreak has decimated ridership, kept some drivers and other employees at home sick or worried about exposure and pushed the agency into crisis-planning mode. Across the Puget Sound region, the same story is playing out at agency after agency.
Beyond the immediate health crisis, the pandemic threatens to undo years of transit growth, undermine public confidence in taking crowded buses and plunge local transit systems into a financial setback worse than the Great Recession in the late 2000s.
I've ridden a bus, and a light rail "train" - and for the life of me, I've never understood the fascination that gripped politicians and planners in regard to all of that: why would anybody willingly choose to spend two hours or more (each way) cooped up in a petrie dish to get from point A to point B when one can drive between those points in 10 to 15 minutes? My car's just a lot faster - and safer.
As businesses remain closed and people stay at home, sales taxes — one of the primary funding sources for transit here — are expected to take a big hit. Fares are not being collected and ridership has plummeted. Meanwhile, extra cleaning adds unexpected costs.
Sound Transit's ridership has plunged by nearly 90% and King County Metro ridership is down more than 70%, and that's just in the first week of this month. That tells me that transit isn't the panacea that the politicians and planners claimed it would be.